Burton Albionvs
Stevenage
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 12/10/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burton Albion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Burton Albion are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Stevenage are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Burton Albion hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Burton Albion holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Burton Albion
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Burton Albion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20