Burton Albionvs
Notts County
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/24/2024, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burton Albion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Burton Albion are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Notts County are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Burton Albion hold a 37.0-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 22.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Burton Albion holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Burton Albion
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
Burton Albion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00