Burton Albionvs
Mansfield Town
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/21/2023, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burton Albion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Burton Albion are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mansfield Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Burton Albion hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Burton Albion holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Burton Albion
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Burton Albion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80