Burton Albionvs
Liverpool U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/2/2025, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burton Albion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Burton Albion are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Liverpool U21 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Burton Albion hold a 30.7-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 29.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Burton Albion holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Burton Albion
Probability
62.5%
Model confidence
62.5%
Burton Albion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40