GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 8/20/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Burton Albion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Burton Albion are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Leicester City U21 are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 0.67 scored and 3.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Burton Albion hold a 36.9-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 23.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Burton Albion holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Burton Albion

Probability

64.0%

Model confidence

64.0%

Burton Albion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Burton AlbionDLLDW

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Leicester City U21LWL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.67/3.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Burton AlbionLeicester City U21
60.0Attack22.2
53.3Defence0.0
60.0Form33.3
59.9Power23.0
2.60xG1.17
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