Burton Albionvs
Huddersfield
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Huddersfield · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Burton Albion 1-3 Huddersfield
Original prediction
Huddersfield
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.76 | 24.7% | 29.6% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.7% | 26.0% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 49.6% | 44.4% | -5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Huddersfield
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Huddersfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00