Burton Albionvs
Everton U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/26/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burton Albion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Burton Albion are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Everton U21 are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Burton Albion hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Burton Albion holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Burton Albion
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Burton Albion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.33/1.33