Burton Albionvs
Crewe
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/11/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burton Albion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Burton Albion are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Crewe are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Burton Albion hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (59.9 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Burton Albion holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Burton Albion
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
55.1%
Burton Albion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40