Burton Albionvs
Cambridge United
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burton Albion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Burton Albion 2-2 Cambridge United
Original prediction
Burton Albion
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 34.7% | 36.7% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.8% | 27.6% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 36.5% | 35.7% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Burton Albion
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Burton Albion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40