GGOALVIO

England · League One · 10/20/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bradford · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Burton Albion 0-0 Bradford, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Prediction record

Final result

Burton Albion 0-0 Bradford

Original prediction

Bradford

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.3721.4%25.6%4.2 pts
Draw3.5326.5%28.7%2.2 pts
Away1.7952.2%45.8%-6.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.53 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.4 pts

Projected Score

Burton Albion 0–0 Bradford

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

Bradford

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Bradford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Burton AlbionDLDLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BradfordWDWDW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Burton AlbionBradford
48.5Attack33.3
45.5Defence83.3
39.4Form66.7
46.2Power63.4
0.77xG1.05
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