Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 15:02
Bursaspor

Bursaspor

Home
00
Full time
Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk

Away
WW
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Shakhtar Donetsk33%
Bursaspor33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Bursaspor
33%
Draw
33%
Shakhtar Donetsk
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Shakhtar Donetsk)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Shakhtar Donetsk)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
WW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Bursaspor33%
Draw33%
Shakhtar Donetsk33%

Shakhtar Donetsk leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Bursaspor head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in unknown form, while Shakhtar Donetsk arrive in decent form (WW).

Bursaspor have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Shakhtar Donetsk have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Bursaspor and Shakhtar Donetsk in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Bursaspor 3333%, Draw 3333%, Shakhtar Donetsk 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk

W
@ Kryvbas KR
17 May 2026
32
W
vs Obolon'-Brovar
13 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Bursaspor vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Bursaspor vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Bursaspor vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bursaspor vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more