Bursasporvs
Pendikspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 10/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bursaspor · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 3-0 (13%), 4-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bursaspor 2-0 Pendikspor
Original prediction
Bursaspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 64.1% | 79.6% | 15.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.37 | 20.9% | 13.2% | -7.7 pts |
| Away | 6.07 | 15.0% | 7.3% | -7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.3–013%
- 3.4–010%
Predicted outcome
Bursaspor
Probability
79.6%
Model confidence
79.6%
Bursaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20