Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burreli · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Burreli 1-2 FK Kukesi
Original prediction
Burreli
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.59 | 34.6% | 37.4% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.5% | 28.8% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 35.9% | 33.8% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Burreli
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Burreli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BurreliLDLWL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FK KukesiWLWLW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
BurreliFK Kukesi
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24