Burnley Wvs
Bristol City W
COMPLETEDEngland · Women's Championship · 9/26/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bristol City W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Burnley W 0-0 Bristol City W
Original prediction
Bristol City W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.47 | 20.2% | 30.3% | 10.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.11 | 22.0% | 27.3% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 1.56 | 57.9% | 42.3% | -15.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.11 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Bristol City W
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Bristol City W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.33/1.67
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40