Burnley U21vs
Reading U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 8/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burnley U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Burnley U21 1-3 Reading U21
Original prediction
Burnley U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 40.0% | 38.7% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.4% | 27.5% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 35.7% | 33.8% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Burnley U21
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Burnley U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 10 · avg 3.40/2.00
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.67/1.67