GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/10/2025, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ulverstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-4

Highconfidence

Burnie Utd. are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 5.20 conceded, while Ulverstone are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone hold a 30.5-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.4% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 94% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ulverstone

Probability

51.4%

Model confidence

51.4%

Ulverstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Burnie Utd.LLLLL

GF 9 · GA 26 · avg 1.80/5.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
UlverstoneWDLWW

GF 16 · GA 11 · avg 3.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Burnie Utd.Ulverstone
80.7Attack98.4
0.0Defence38.1
29.8Form65.1
32.9Power63.4
3.19xG4.50
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