Burnie Utd.vs
Ulverstone
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 4/6/2024, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ulverstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-4
Burnie Utd. are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.50 scored and 4.50 conceded, while Ulverstone are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 4.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulverstone hold a 30.5-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.4% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Ulverstone holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 94% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ulverstone
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Ulverstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 1.50/4.50
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 4.50/1.50