Burnie Utd.vsSomerset

Burnie Utd. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 3.40 scored and 4.20 conceded, while Somerset are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Somerset hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.1% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Burnie Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 97% BTTS chance and 99% for over 2.5 goals.