Burnie Utd.vs
Somerset
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 4/26/2025, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burnie Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-4
Burnie Utd. are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 6.60 conceded, while Somerset are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Somerset hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Burnie Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 97% BTTS chance and 99% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Burnie Utd.
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Burnie Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 33 · avg 1.80/6.60
GF 19 · GA 9 · avg 3.80/1.80