Burnie Utd.vsSomerset

Burnie Utd. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 4.40 conceded, while Somerset are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Somerset hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Burnie Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 97% BTTS chance and 99% for over 2.5 goals.