Burnie Utd.vs
Riverside Olympic U21
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 7/4/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burnie Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2
Burnie Utd. are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.40 conceded, while Riverside Olympic U21 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 4.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Burnie Utd. hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 23.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.1% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Burnie Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Burnie Utd.
Probability
61.4%
Model confidence
7.1%
Burnie Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 22 · avg 1.40/4.40
GF 9 · GA 22 · avg 1.80/4.40