GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/2/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Burnie Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Lowconfidence

Burnie Utd. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 2.60 scored and 5.60 conceded, while Riverside Olympic U21 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Burnie Utd. hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 23.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.1% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Burnie Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Burnie Utd.

Probability

61.4%

Model confidence

7.1%

Burnie Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Burnie Utd.LDWLL

GF 13 · GA 28 · avg 2.60/5.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Riverside Olympic U21WLLLL

GF 9 · GA 19 · avg 1.80/3.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Burnie Utd.Riverside Olympic U21
80.7Attack46.3
0.0Defence0.0
29.8Form27.8
32.9Power23.4
4.50xG2.59
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