GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 7/20/2024, 6:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Burnie Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Highconfidence

Burnie Utd. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Riverside Olympic U21 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Burnie Utd. hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 23.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.9% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Burnie Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Burnie Utd.

Probability

59.9%

Model confidence

59.9%

Burnie Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Burnie Utd.DLDLW

GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Riverside Olympic U21DWDWL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Burnie Utd.Riverside Olympic U21
80.7Attack46.3
0.0Defence0.0
29.8Form27.8
32.9Power23.4
4.50xG2.59
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