GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 7/13/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Burnie Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Highconfidence

Burnie Utd. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Riverside Olympic U21 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Burnie Utd. hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 23.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.9% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Burnie Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Burnie Utd.

Probability

59.9%

Model confidence

59.9%

Burnie Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Burnie Utd.LDLWL

GF 6 · GA 20 · avg 1.20/4.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Riverside Olympic U21WDWLW

GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Burnie Utd.Riverside Olympic U21
80.7Attack46.3
0.0Defence0.0
29.8Form27.8
32.9Power23.4
4.50xG2.59
View match centre →