GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/4/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4

Highconfidence

Burnie Utd. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.40 conceded, while Northern Rangers are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 47.1-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 80.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.3% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Northern Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Rangers

Probability

69.3%

Model confidence

69.3%

Northern Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Burnie Utd.LWLLL

GF 7 · GA 22 · avg 1.40/4.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Northern RangersWWWWW

GF 20 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Burnie Utd.Northern Rangers
80.7Attack100.0
0.0Defence59.3
29.8Form94.4
32.9Power80.0
2.01xG4.50
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