GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 4/13/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Burnie Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Burnie Utd. are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.33 conceded, while Launceston United U21 are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.67 scored and 5.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Burnie Utd. hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 15.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.6% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Burnie Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Burnie Utd.

Probability

73.6%

Model confidence

73.6%

Burnie Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Burnie Utd.LLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/4.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Launceston United U21LLL

GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.67/5.67

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Burnie Utd.Launceston United U21
80.7Attack28.1
0.0Defence0.0
29.8Form14.0
32.9Power15.8
4.50xG1.75
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