Burnie Utd.vs
Launceston U21
SCHEDULEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 8/22/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burnie Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Burnie Utd. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 3.20 scored and 4.80 conceded, while Launceston U21 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston U21 hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (34.4 v 41.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.3% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Burnie Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Burnie Utd.
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
6.3%
Burnie Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 24 · avg 3.20/4.80
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80