Burnie Utd.vs
Launceston U21
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 3/28/2026, 3:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burnie Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-3
Burnie Utd. are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 4.80 conceded, while Launceston U21 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston U21 hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Burnie Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Burnie Utd.
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Burnie Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 24 · avg 1.20/4.80
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20