GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/31/2025, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Burnie Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-3

Highconfidence

Burnie Utd. are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 5.00 conceded, while Launceston U21 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston U21 hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Burnie Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Burnie Utd.

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

Burnie Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Burnie Utd.LLLLL

GF 4 · GA 25 · avg 0.80/5.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
Launceston U21WWDDL

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Burnie Utd.Launceston U21
80.7Attack55.6
0.0Defence33.3
29.8Form44.4
32.9Power44.0
3.63xG3.29
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