GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 6/29/2024, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Burnie Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-3

Highconfidence

Burnie Utd. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Launceston U21 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Launceston U21 hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Burnie Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 93% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Burnie Utd.

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

Burnie Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Burnie Utd.LWLLL

GF 6 · GA 20 · avg 1.20/4.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Launceston U21DWDLL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Burnie Utd.Launceston U21
80.7Attack55.6
0.0Defence33.3
29.8Form44.4
32.9Power44.0
3.63xG3.29
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