GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 7/27/2024, 6:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Devonport U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-4

Highconfidence

Burnie Utd. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Devonport U21 are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 6.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Devonport U21 hold a 40.0-point power-rating edge (32.9 v 72.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.7% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Devonport U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Devonport U21

Probability

68.7%

Model confidence

68.7%

Devonport U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Burnie Utd.WDLDL

GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Devonport U21LLLLL

GF 7 · GA 30 · avg 1.40/6.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Burnie Utd.Devonport U21
80.7Attack100.0
0.0Defence59.3
29.8Form77.8
32.9Power72.9
2.04xG4.50
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