Buriram Unitedvs
Sisaket United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 10/24/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buriram United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Buriram United 2-3 Sisaket United
Original prediction
Buriram United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.21 | 74.5% | 59.2% | -15.3 pts |
| Draw | 5.50 | 16.3% | 22.7% | 6.4 pts |
| Away | 9.81 | 9.2% | 18.1% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Buriram United
Probability
59.2%
Model confidence
59.2%
Buriram United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60