Buriram Unitedvs
Rayong FC
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 10/10/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buriram United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Buriram United 3-2 Rayong FC
Original prediction
Buriram United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.20 | 75.2% | 49.3% | -25.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.73 | 15.7% | 24.6% | 8.9 pts |
| Away | 9.93 | 9.1% | 26.1% | 17.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Buriram United
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Buriram United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00