Buriram Unitedvs
Pusamania Borneo
COMPLETEDWorld · ASEAN Club Championship · 10/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buriram United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Buriram United 0-0 Pusamania Borneo
Original prediction
Buriram United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 21:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 72.1% | 47.4% | -24.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.20 | 17.3% | 24.8% | 7.4 pts |
| Away | 8.49 | 10.6% | 27.8% | 17.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-24.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Buriram United
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Buriram United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00