Buriram Unitedvs
Chiangrai United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 9/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buriram United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Buriram United 1-1 Chiangrai United
Original prediction
Buriram United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.15 | 79.1% | 50.5% | -28.6 pts |
| Draw | 6.45 | 14.1% | 24.4% | 10.3 pts |
| Away | 13.25 | 6.9% | 25.1% | 18.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 5.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Buriram United
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Buriram United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00