Burgosvs
Real Sociedad II
SCHEDULEDSpain · Segunda División · 8/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Burgos are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Real Sociedad II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Burgos hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Segunda División, favouring a draw with 14.3% confidence, a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.8%
Model confidence
14.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 0.80/0.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40