Burgos Promesasvs
UD Ourense
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/14/2025, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UD Ourense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Burgos Promesas are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while UD Ourense are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and UD Ourense hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (41.9 v 55.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1, while UD Ourense holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UD Ourense
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
UD Ourense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.67/1.67