Burgess Hill Townvs
Dulwich Hamlet
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 10/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dulwich Hamlet · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Burgess Hill Town 2-0 Dulwich Hamlet
Original prediction
Dulwich Hamlet
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.1% | 36.3% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.6% | 25.3% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.3% | 38.4% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Dulwich Hamlet
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Dulwich Hamlet has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20