Burgess Hill Townvs
Dartford
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burgess Hill Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Burgess Hill Town 2-1 Dartford
Original prediction
Burgess Hill Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 30.4% | 37.8% | 7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 25.9% | 25.8% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 43.6% | 36.4% | -7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Burgess Hill Town
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Burgess Hill Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20