Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yarmouk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Burgan are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (WLDD), averaging 1.75 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Yarmouk are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (DWWD), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Yarmouk hold a 29.1-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 69.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.8% in the Division 1, while Yarmouk holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Yarmouk
Probability
67.8%
Model confidence
67.8%
Yarmouk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.75/1.50
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/0.75