GGOALVIO

Kuwait · Division 1 · 9/28/2023, 3:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Tadhamon · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Burgan are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Al Tadhamon are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Tadhamon hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the Division 1, while Al Tadhamon holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Tadhamon

Probability

53.6%

Model confidence

53.6%

Al Tadhamon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BurganDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Al TadhamonWD

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
BurganAl Tadhamon
31.6Attack54.2
52.6Defence66.7
29.8Form54.2
40.7Power58.6
0.64xG1.48
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