Burapha Unitedvs
Chiangrai United
COMPLETEDThailand · FA Cup · 10/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Burapha United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Burapha United 1-1 Chiangrai United
Original prediction
Burapha United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 17:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 37.6% | 38.8% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 26.0% | 27.0% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 36.3% | 34.2% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.76 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Burapha United
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Burapha United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20