Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bunyodkor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bunyodkor 0-0 Surkhon, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bunyodkor 0-1 Surkhon
Original prediction
Bunyodkor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.2% | 40.6% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.4% | 29.4% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 29.4% | 29.9% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.6 pts
Projected Score
Bunyodkor 0–0 Surkhon
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Bunyodkor
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Bunyodkor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BunyodkorLLLLL
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SurkhonDDLLW
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BunyodkorSurkhon
35.1Attack28.1
45.6Defence54.4
33.3Form35.1
40.7Power41.9
1.02xG0.84