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Thursday, 16 July 2026Last updated 10:02
Bunyodkor

Bunyodkor

Home
L
13
Full time
Nasaf

Nasaf

Away
W
Milliy Stadium
GoalVio prediction
Too close to call
No clear favourite

The model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.

Bunyodkor36%
Draw35%
Nasaf29%
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Nasaf
Win probability
Bunyodkor
36%
Draw
35%
Nasaf
29%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Bunyodkor
34
Nasaf
94
Defence
Bunyodkor
6
Nasaf
66
Momentum
Bunyodkor
0
Nasaf
100
Danger (xG)
Bunyodkor
0.90
Nasaf
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Bunyodkor)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Nasaf)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Bunyodkor)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Nasaf)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
BunyodkorBunyodkor
L
NasafNasaf
W

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Bunyodkor36%
Draw35%
Nasaf29%

Bunyodkor leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Bunyodkor head into this in Super League fixture at Milliy Stadium in mixed form (L), while Nasaf arrive in mixed form (W). Bunyodkor have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Nasaf over 1 games.

Tactically, Nasaf hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Bunyodkor defence (6/100), while Bunyodkor's attack faces a solid Nasaf backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Bunyodkor have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Nasaf have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Nasaf have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Bunyodkor to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Bunyodkor 3575%, Draw 3500%, Nasaf 2925%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Bunyodkor 0Draws 01 Nasaf
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
16 Jul 2026
Bunyodkor
L13
Nasaf

Recent form

Bunyodkor

Bunyodkor

L
vs Nasaf
16 Jul 2026
13
Nasaf

Nasaf

W
@ Bunyodkor
16 Jul 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Bunyodkor vs Nasaf?

GoalVio's model predicts Bunyodkor to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Bunyodkor vs Nasaf?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Bunyodkor vs Nasaf?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bunyodkor vs Nasaf?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more