Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bunyodkor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bunyodkor 1-0 Mash'al, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bunyodkor 2-1 Mash'al
Original prediction
Bunyodkor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 62.0% | 53.5% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 22.3% | 25.7% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 5.81 | 15.7% | 20.7% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Projected Score
Bunyodkor 1–0 Mash'al
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Bunyodkor
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Bunyodkor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BunyodkorDLWLL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Mash'alLLLLL
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
BunyodkorMash'al
33.3Attack15.3
44.4Defence33.3
31.9Form5.6
39.4Power22.5
1.50xG0.72