Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HB Koge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bunyodkor are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while HB Koge are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and HB Koge hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (41.6 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while HB Koge holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HB Koge
Probability
34.8%
Model confidence
34.8%
HB Koge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00