Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buxoro · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bunyodkor 2-1 Buxoro
Original prediction
Buxoro
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.26 | 28.0% | 21.8% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.8% | 24.3% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.02 | 45.2% | 53.9% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Buxoro
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Buxoro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BunyodkorLLLLL
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BuxoroLLDWW
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BunyodkorBuxoro
31.7Attack49.2
44.4Defence57.1
30.2Form54.0
38.3Power55.2
0.83xG1.57