GGOALVIO

Belarus · 1. Division · 4/8/2023, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Dnepr Mogilev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bumprom are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.33 scored and 0.67 conceded, while FC Dnepr Mogilev are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Dnepr Mogilev hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.2% in the 1. Division, while FC Dnepr Mogilev holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Dnepr Mogilev

Probability

56.2%

Model confidence

56.2%

FC Dnepr Mogilev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BumpromWLL

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 1.33/0.67

BTTS 0/3O2.5 1/3
FC Dnepr MogilevWDWDW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BumpromFC Dnepr Mogilev
61.1Attack78.1
55.6Defence75.0
51.9Form76.0
56.2Power74.6
1.06xG2.04
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