Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bumprom · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Bumprom are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Belshina are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Belshina hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 36.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bumprom holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bumprom
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Bumprom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60