Bulls Academyvs
Blacktown Spartans
COMPLETEDAustralia · New South Wales NPL 2 · 8/29/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blacktown Spartans · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bulls Academy 2-2 Blacktown Spartans
Original prediction
Blacktown Spartans
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.08 | 21.9% | 17.9% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 21.7% | 17.0% | -4.7 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 56.4% | 65.1% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.12 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Blacktown Spartans
Probability
65.1%
Model confidence
65.1%
Blacktown Spartans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60